Friday, May 27, 2011

Sarpsborg 08 FF - Lillestrøm SK

Norway - Tippeligaen

Kick-off:               28/May        16:00 CET
Pick:                     Sarpsborg 08 FF (+0)
Odds:                   1,98 @ SBO, 12Bet, Ladbrokes
Stake:                   6/10


Result:                  2-4     Profit:   -6

Sarpsborg can reach good results at their home stadium like some other smaller teams in this league, they have got 4-0-0 home stats with 8-0 goals difference. Belongs to the truth that they had some lucky, for example last week they beat Aalesund but the guests dominated mostly just Sellin missed his big chances again. Regular right back Jusufi and best attacker Hoås have struggled with injury problems but both are available and will start probably, no other important team news.

I have written few lines about LSK in my other preview two weeks ago, they had excellent results (7-0 and 5-0) and awful results (1-4 and 0-3) also with luck and bad luck, excessive results. Last week Sogndal beat them despite that they were not weaker, Sogndal has kept the goalless draw until the 83th minute and then scored two goals, the draw would have been fairer result. Regular midfielders Gísalson and Knudtzon are injured, key central defender Kippe is available after served his one match suspension.

Fact that LSK is better team on paper and S08 had some lucky but I put though on Sarpsborg, they are strong at their artifical pitch, LSK use natural grass at home. Both teams played NM Cup game three days ago, Sarpsborg won against Kjelsås on away field (2-1).  Kjelsås conceded the goals after two personal mistakes, they were not bad at all and had serious chances like Sarpsborg. Heier (first gk), Berge (team captain, key central back), Jusufi (regular right back) and Hoås (topscorer) have rested. Hjulstad was the first goalie from the first round but showed erratic performance then the coach have made a change and since the fifth round Heier  is the first goalkeeper and it was not a bad idea. But let’s see Lillestrøm. They played Cup meeting against Sandefjord at home. This meeting was a bit boring, goalless draw after 90 minutes then extra time also without goals and serious chances then penalties and finally LSK advanced to the next round. The coach used all regular players. Sarpsborg has got a big home advantage and can play with all important players against a tired Lillestrøm, the hosts have got biggest chance than the odds suggest, +0 asian looks quite safety in my opinion.

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